TMTravel Measured
Forecast checks

How accurate are our forecasts?

We save what we predict, measure what happened, and publish the comparison every month, good or bad.

How one forecast gets checked

  1. 30 days beforeFirst forecast saved
  2. 7 days beforeForecast saved again
  3. 1 day beforeLast forecast saved
  4. The dayRide waits recorded through the day
  5. AfterwardsEach saved forecast compared with the measured level

Every night we save what we predict for each park 1, 7 and 30 days ahead. Once that day has been measured, we compare the two. Closed days are left out: only open-day crowd levels are scored. A forecast is "within one level" if it said High and the day turned out Peak or Medium.

All parks, by month

  1. October 20262,367 days checked

    91% within one level · 37% exactly right

By park

ParkMonthDays checkedWithin one level
Alton Towers2026-103288%
Busch Gardens Tampa Bay2026-103297%
California's Great America2026-10450%
Canada's Wonderland2026-101984%
Carowinds2026-1018100%
Cedar Point2026-101889%
Efteling2026-103281%
Europa-Park2026-103297%
Gardaland2026-1032100%
Kings Dominion2026-1013100%
Kings Island2026-101889%
Knott's Berry Farm2026-1032100%
Parc Astérix2026-103288%
SeaWorld Orlando2026-1032100%
SeaWorld San Diego2026-103284%
Six Flags Great Adventure2026-1018100%
Six Flags Magic Mountain2026-1020100%
Six Flags Over Texas2026-101883%
Thorpe Park2026-103080%

How the levels are made